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this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
: what about early voting in nevada? >> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just
: in the senate races, we are in michigan, wisconsin, nevada, the governor's race in new hampshire. we do 75 congressional races. we started off with 53 incumbents going into this election. we do some polling for the romney campaign. host: what is happening for the wisconsin senate race? guest: i did some polling for scott walker. we have it right in terms of polling as opposed to what you are seeing in the public polling. we have a net edge presidentially and in the senate race going for tom thompson in that senate race. what we are seeing there we are seeing in all of the campaigns. we have closed the gaps that democrats have in those states. guest: we see a much more partisan atmosphere than in 2008. the democrat in wisconsin has a slight lead. that will be a close race on election day. wisconsin is a little bit closer than it has been before. in the end, obama wins that state by two or three points. host: i want to put on the screen what is happening in colorado, alabama, north carolina. the number of votes cast as of yesterday. in colorado, 1.5 million votes cast. 35% for democrats, 37%
radio for the rest of the day but i have been on the ground in nevada, colorado, iowa florida, north carolina virginia pennsylvania, ohio, and i think that's it, but making a loop, kind of like that lady at the airport in the white zone kind of thing just making the loop. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: you know interesting you used the phrase about pundits like to create drama. alfre woodard is paid to create drama. i literally tuned in this morning and somebody saying if the black turnout isn't the same, won't we be able to say tomorrow -- they're creating story lines that haven't happened to try to create this narrative. >> caller: they are and they do the narratives that mitt romney was surging in the polls after surging in anybody's mind after that first sort debate. it has to be that or else they're out of work. they get excited and they have their own world that they do together but the truth is people know what it is. they know that when those guys say they're going to on day one start taking apart the affordable care act when he won't even comment on the led bedder for fair pay.
and mountain states of wisconsin, colorado, and iowa. that left nevada and the three critical states we've been watching for months. we're talking ohio, virginia, and florida. as it turns out, the president only needed one of those states. as soon as nbc news projected ohio for obama around 11:15, the president had enough electoral votes to keep him in the white house. as icing on the cake, though, the president did also pick up virginia, and he also picked up nevada early this morning. >>> in about two months, gay marriage will become legal in the state of maryland. voters upheld an amendment making same-sex marriage legal in the state. the assembly passed the amendment earlier this year, but opponents were able to put it on the ballot. other states had similar amendments on the ballot. voters in maine voted to legalize same-sex marriage while washington state is still counting the vote. in minnesota, a vote to ban same-sex marriage was shot down by voters. in maryland, prince george's is on its way to a new casino. the amendment passed, which will bring table games to maryland's existing casi
, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a challenge which is florida, north carolina, and colorado. if he can win those three, and i think he's got a decent chance in all, although the president hasn't given up on colorado and florida, then he needs to find a couple other -- a couple of options, one is to just win ohio. if he can't win ohio, and virginia also, he needs to win virginia also, okay, if he can't win ohio he needs to find another way. states of the three polls you showed as well as pennsylvania, michigan, he needs to offset a loss in ohio. ohio's the simplest and most competitive the reason they're l
. you have this interesting dynamic formulating here, but overall when you look at nevada, for example, where foreclosures are up, the housing market is still struggling, unemployment up, the president could win nevada because of the latino vote there. >> that's true. i'll be honest with you, tamron. we've had this discussion before. i think my party is having a difficult time with the hispanic population, particularly in certain key areas. it's incumbent to make sure over the next several cycles we do everything we can to reach out to voters and talk about our shared interests and shared values and our shared principles. in this particular election i know that the economy and jobs the way hispanic families are hurting within this economy is what they take into account. it may not help us get to the point where we have a lion's share of the vote to help us win in certain key states, but it's the discussion we're having and move inning that direction about having that conversation. >> the conversation you're having year after year, george w. bush, karl rove, jeb bush all indicated the i
obama. he is scheduled to appear in wisconsin, nevada, colorado today. mitt romney is scheduled to be in battleground virginia to talk , which will talk about in a moment. we will cover running at 2:00 p.m. on c-span and the president at 9:00 in colorado. watch here or listen on c-span radio. those are some of the latest headlines. [video clip] >> these are the stories your textbooks left out, great stories about real people in american history, very important moment in american history we don't know about. the first programs in america came to -- came 50 years before the mayflower sailed there there were french and they made wine and had the good sense to land in florida in june if instead of december in massachusetts. but then they were wiped out by the spanish. completely left out of the textbooks. a woman named hanna was taken captive by indians in 1695 and brought to new hampshire. still to come captors in the middle of the night, realized she could get a bounty for scalps of the indians, she went back and did that and made her way to boston, where she was a heroin and a st
're going live to nevada. las vegas strip to be exact. talking with business leaders. that is all next. first look at some of today's winners with and lose others as we head out to break. the dow is only down seven points. e-trade financial is up over 4%. tesoro, a charles payne favorite, also up 4%. we'll be right back. >> at least we have a decent view. no rain. hi, we're all waving to you out there. it's 30 past the hour, nicole's on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole, the dow is positive, trying so hard. >> what do you think of the markets ahead of the election? >> dead, dead. that's what they are. i mean, you know, the day is finally upon us. we've been looking at this election for the last two years. the markets have whipped around and vacillated back and forth based on who is in the lead, who is not in the lead. it's here. we are just waiting and seeing. most of the clients and people i talk to are on pips and needles. we may wake up wednesday morning and still not know who the is next president. >> that may very well happen. what percentage of this floor is for on
, central california and nevada. some grocery workers are members of unions and are not working. at this particular raley's, grocery workers are not union members. they are being told to cross the picket line and come in or otherwise they are told they will lose their jobs. this camps after intense negotiations with the federal mediators, but contract talks have been in the work for 15 months. they are battling over a proposed wage frees, the eelimination of premium pay for sunday shifts and healthcare benefits. the dispute involves 7,000 union members, 128raley's, knob hill and bell hill stores could be empacketted today. as long as it continues, this is the first strike in raley's 77 year history and here at the raley's store in fremont the striking workers will be passing out flyers encouraging people to shop down the street at safe way and food max. that's the latest from fremont. abc7 news. >> all right. crossing those lines has got to be a difficult decision. thank you. >> in other news this morning, a firefighter is hospitalized after being injured battling a fire that af
shopping at railly's. the stores throughout california and nevada went on strike at 6:00 this morning after talks broke down. abc7 news reporter kyra clapper joins us live from the railly's in fremont with details on the walkout. good morning. >> good morning, carolyn. this is the first walkout in the 77-year history of wailly's. it is over wages and retiree and health benefits facing cuts. they say it must reduce costs to become competitive. the union says it is a contract that erases decades of progress for grocery workers. at 6:00 a.m. three union members started their sunday in solidarity. forming a picket line in fremont because of what they say are unfair labor practices. >> we are starting to get a decent contract for the members. >> reporter: the dispute between railly and the workers union involves about 7,000 union members from grocery workers to meat cutters. 15 months of contract negotiations came to a head overnight and a midnight deadline came and went. >> hopefully this will send a message that you can take a little from people, but you can't take a lot. >> reporter: railly's
. he is going to need at least nevada or iowa with their six votes to give him the win. different way, if he takes ohio p if he takes florida he comes up -- 30 votes shy he has been campaigning hard in pennsylvania, president obama's edge razor thin. let's say mitt romney takes pennsylvania, still comes up short, he still needs a handful more votes. nevada is not going to do it, iowa is not going to do it, he is going to need at least colorado or double digit electoral colleges to put him over the edge. all of this predictive until people cast their votes. >>> shrbgs 6:30 to vice president biden stood in line chatting it up with other voters when reporters asked if he thought this was the laugh time he would vote for himself, he said no, i don't think so. -- >>> [ unintelligible ] brown made his final push with senator feinstein and mayor lee in san francisco yesterday. his initiative would avoid trigger cuts in the budget by increasing taxes on high income earners and state's sales tax. he will hold a rally with prop 30 supporters then head back to sacramento. >>> california voters w
before we start to see results out west, but beyond nevada which we don't think is much of a toss-up as we once thought it was, the romney folks don't feel that great about nevada, so most of the action is on the east coast and in the midwest. of the states that have been called, it's been a good night for barack obama. he won pennsylvania, looks like he's going to win michigan. he won wisconsin huge. i think the one we've not talked enough about is new hampshire. the ap has called new hampshire for barack obama. that was a state that mitt romney thought he had a really good chance of winning, neighbors, massachusetts -- >> [inaudible] >> does he have a house there? >> i think so. >> talk about new hampshire. >> just looking at the exit polls, just unpacking them a little bit, and people are going to be looking at whether mitt romney really had the momentum that he seemed to or that they claimed. you're going to hear republicans say you heard former governor haley barbour over the weekend saying the storm had really blunted his momentum. if the president's handling of the storm wa
for democrats. virginia, montana are important if the democrats could pick off arizona or nevada. but things have been breaking for the democrats the past couple of weeks, i think. >> brown: you haven't had a chance to talk about missouri. >> missouri is a very interesting state where democrats hadn't been earning more than 50% of the votes even when winning because there were other factors. and and there is a third party candidate helping her a little bit. one interesting thing about deb fisher, it's the first time nebraska is sending a woman to the senate. and in new hampshire, the associated press called the democratic governor won there. she will be the only female democratic governor in the country next year because she's won. >> yes. >> brown: is that something you didn't know? did we stump you? >> there is a sitting woman democratic governor right now, but she chose not to seek reelection in north carolina. >> right, so in 2013. >> brown: and back to you, glen and judy. >> ifill: we find it very interesting to see how all this is shaking out partly because we see what's happening on t
they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso
in nevada and colorado. nevada is a pathway to 270 without ohio. i think the post-mortem on this is that -- if the republicans don't win, a look a thow they dealt with the latino vote and the language they used and the perception that is created. the latino vote is one of the pillars of the obama strategy. and a big turnout like the president said -- this is a reason why he wins. he was playing the analyst and acts like he doesn't do it publically. >> the best visual we've seen about the changing face of american politics -- the percentage of the vote white voters make up. it is down 3-4 points each election adn this will continue a long time. it was a reality they could blow off but they can't win without improving those numbers. >> you saw rubio try to do that -- >> and -- it was such a moment. really. and if we see, if republicans are serious about that, they will get serious about immigration reform. >> i will make a prediction if romney doesn't win. this is the last time we see a major party ticket with two white men on it. it will be almost automatic you have
close. and labor aint dead. laver played a big role in helping obama and nevada and wisconsin as well as an ohio. the popularity of the auto bailout is hard to overstate. that a little bit from politico. now we want to hear from you. we will begin with a call from woodbridge, virginia on our line for democrats. good morning. go ahead. caller: good morning. i am calling it, as my first time calling c-span. a have been listening for several years. and i feel like i have to make a call today. my comment would be, i voted for obama, and a first-time voter. i just became a citizen of this year. the democratic party, i have been here for two years, and this democratic party stands for us all, it helps the poor people of. like obama said, trying to help people come up to the middle class. the republican party stands for the rich. it claims to be a christian party. these people call themselves christians. but the abuse, the idea as, is not designed to help the poor. it is for the rich. so people like myself, i would never aligned with this party. host: tell us about your experience boating an
on the campaign trail. he will visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today. governor mitt romney is in virginia, after campaign iing i florida on wednesday. jan crawford filed this report this morning as the romney campaign headed north. >> to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential election is really an under dstatement. think about it. less than a week to go, the race this tight. both sides suspending campaigning and romney yesterday back on the campaign trail but muting his attacks on the president. and the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> we're going to help you get it all together. i promise, you're going to be okay. >> reporter: he met with victims and officials, reassuring that the government will be there to help. >> we're going to get this whole thing -- we're going to get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: at his side republican governor chris christie, a romney supporter. to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he has been aggressive in making sure that the state got out in front of this incred
on the campaign trail. he'll visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today and governor mitt romney heads to virginia after campaigning in florida on wednesday. jan crawford is covering the romney campaign in jacksonville. jan, good morning. >> reporter: good morning, norah, good morning, charlie. to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential campaign is an understatement. both sides suspending campaigning. mitt romney muting his attacks on the president. the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> i'm going to help you get it all together. i promise. i promise. >> reporter: as the president tour storm-ravaged areas of new jersey he met with victims and officials, reassuring them the government would be there to help. >> everybody safe? that's the most important thing then we'll get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: apartment his side was new jersey republican governor chris christie, a mitt romney supporter. recognizing christie for his leadership the president sought to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he's been a
-- to go. sierra nevada, winter advisory starts at 4:00 today and goes until 4:00 a.m. main lin windy. clou -- mainly windy. some of that light, heavier the farther north you go. highs, upper 50s, lower 60s to the north. yet, mid-60s and even some 70s as you head towards santa clara valley. we'll have kind of a rainy pattern into early wednesday and then it is out of here. we'll have to watch out for fog. there could be really thick valley fog, otherwise it will be dry. >> thank you, steve. >>> sonoma county election officials say nearly one in four ballots still have not been counted two weeks after election day. that's nearly 42,000 mail-in and provisional ballots. the uncounted ballots have left at least three local races undecided. county election officials say it could take another two weeks to complete the count and certify the vote. >>> there are new graduation concerns for san francisco high school students set to graduate in 2014. in 2008, the district adopted a new policy requiring students to take classes that are required for admission into uc and csu schools. the class of 2014
, and that's the campaign we built was one to win a close race. but if you look at nevada, iowa, ohio, florida, virginia, new hampshire, colorado, all of these states we think the president is in a good position to win. and we think governor romney is playing defense. he is spending his last day in florida and virginia on monday. states that they were telling you in the media a few weeks ago they thought were done deals. they are far from done deals. i'd rather be the president today than romney in terms of those two states. >> i talked about the american firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north carolina, he'll have to carry election day by a huge margin,
to the nevada state line. you won't be able to go any further heading from the bay area or sacramento this morning. video now to show you what chain control is like. caltrans checking tires making sure everybody is driving at slow speeds down here because you never know when the weather changes and it changes on a dime in the sierra going from perfect to snow in just several minutes. so at this point right now everybody on caution right now because of the fact that there's a backup. the snow starting to come down steady back here live. we want to take you to the shoulder of the road. a good amount of powder hear about falling overnight. we are talking about probably five or six inches that's fallen. that's good for the resorts if you are going skiing or boarding today. in fact best part about it is weekend starts for us morning people in a few hours! [ laughter ] >> back to you. >> that's the best. sean bennett live in the sierra, thank you. >> hope he brought his skis with him. >> how would you like to bring some chains on one of those 18 wheelers? >> no way. >> two wheels is tough e
seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particular one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking at democrats have area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, where the democrats are look at making long-lasting gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be watching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members of congress? are these people extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with extreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremes in congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about how the vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now is that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people
. mid-70s in nevada and 70 in richmond. 71 in oakland, mid-70s in danville and 74 in livermore. 73 in san jose, a nice day for perhaps getting outdoors and having some fun. 72 in redwood city and 70 san mateo, 67 in half moon bay. and the extended forecast shows you a warmer day for sunday. remember, we fall back into the overnight hours tonight and into tomorrow morning. we gain an hour of sleep as we waking up tomorrow morning mostly sunny skies and the temperatures well above normal at this point. as we get into monday and tuesday, we're looking at low to mid-80s in the forecast with some of the hottest spots flirting with the 90-degree mark by wednesday and partly cloudy skies and cooling it back and we have the possibility of rain coming a little later in the week. coming up, i'll have a look at your lunchtime numbers. >>> amateur crabbers will be outsetting their traps this morning. people that crab for fun can go out and try to catch them. they get a head start on commercial crabber that's don't get start for another 12 days. the sports crabbing season ends june 30th. >>> an
with about 10 reporters this morning. from states like ohio, nevada, and yes, a virginia. separation of just a point or two. this morning one more opportunity to get in some last- minute campaigning. he stopped by a field office in chicago. shortly after he talked to me about this level of confidence. >> i have confidence that the votes are there for us to win. we have a great organization, unbelievable volunteers. i think it is as good of a grass-roots organization as we have ever seen in politics. i hope people do not sit on the sidelines. >> would you do something differently? >> i think overall we have brought a race that i can be proud of. obviously, -- we have run a race that i can be proud of. obviously, i should of had a few more cups of coffee before the first debate. other than that, i feel very good about the work that we have done. >> is this going to be over tonight? >> one way or another, we will have a winner. it may spill into the morning but i am pretty confident. >> it is unusual to hear the president himself pushed this message. it was to make sure that if you are in line
at the headquarters, responsible for monitoring real and potential disaster issues in california, nevada, arizona, hawaii and all united states possessions in the pacific. the damage on the east coast is so bad it's. >> all hands on deck. >> reporter: the administrator said that her office is already sent a ten person incident management team to the east coast to match federal resources with local needs. >> they are there to help the states fill the gaps, the resource gap that the state identities and that the locals have. >> reporter: the no call has been made for supplies their depot at moffet field. they say that's ready to respond in an instant as eastern depots are depleted. >> if we area lift them or -- i wouldn't be surprised if they will be tapped. >> we sent people back and more if necessary depending on the damage a fair questiona rices, are we going to be protected here? >> we are maintaining arability. maintaining our our availability here. >> reporter: other agencies are also pulling resources all effort nation to the hard hit coast. ktvu channel 2news. >> local red cross also
of nevada. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, they claim illegals are intentionally being register to do pressured to vote. they go on to say if not for this process, democratic senate majority leader harry reid would have never been relie detectorred back in 2010 -- elected in 2010. no comment from the secretary's office. >>> on the benghazi, libya terrorist attack, sources say the white house had to see the classified cable warning or consulate could in the defend against coordinated attack. one former top intelligence official says, quote, the national security council sees everything. if libya was of interest to this administration, the staff saw it. the cable was sent to the office of secretary of state hillary clinton august 16, less than one month before the attack. >>> frustrated drivers still waiting for hours in gas lines that don't move. to make matters worse, triple a says gas in new york city went up by an average of 9 cents a gallon. there has be
to the worth of us. that's providing a few showers. otherwise a very frosty start in the sierra nevada, for one. and today we will look for a pretty good afternoon, although it is definitely on the cool side. it will feel a little better today with more 60s than 50s. and this next system flirting with the extreme north bay right on through tuesday. any shower activity you can find well up into fortbragg and by the middle of the week a couple systems want to form offshore. but it isn't until the weekend we look like we will get wet again. in terms of our temperatures today, even though it's a cold start out there, we are talking about upper 50s it had. that's about three degrees warmer downtown. still shy of the average 61 in oakland with 61 today in san jose. low 60s for concord and livermore. a few clouds from time to time and a cool 58 in clear lake. 62 in santa cruz today. 60 in salinas. set a record yesterday at the tahoe valley airport where temperatures were in the teens. it's 5 there this morning. snow making machines, highs only in the 40s there. notice our numbers continue to go up day
with fog. rainfall totals look like this. nevada picked up a fifth of an inch of rain. these totals are from the last several hours. they picked up 1.9 inches of rain. san francisco, half an inch. livermore managed 45- hundredths. winter storm warnings are posted throughout the sierra. a few inches posted about 10,000 feet. still the wind gusts could be up to 45 miles an hour. we're going to start out foggy and cloudy for the bay area today. just mild temperatures and changes ahead for the bay. as we expect, low clouds will be moving in midday on tuesday. that favors the north baby tuesday night. the only thing is we'll be starting out with fog in santa rosa. other than that, the field today will be far more sunshine than we had yesterday and the rain now has headed east to the bay area. increasing sunshine for us today. numbers still on the mild side. for san francisco, we're going to be looking at numbers on monday if you're headed out. 64 at the airport. looks good. no airport delays on monday. los angeles is sunny. so for the most part, so is chicago. new york looks okay for a c
temperatures will be cooler with plenty of cloud cover today, sierra nevada, 54°, winter weather advisory posted for tomorrow morning with high elevation snow, 48 inches above 7,000 feet, snow new york city, rain along the southeast, back home, not looking at any travel delays, still fog in our valleys. >>> >> let's check in with josh elliot for what is coming up. >>> good tuesday morning to all of you in the bay area. like mom, like daughter, i supposed anna nicole smith's daughter starring in new series of guess ads what her father has to say. legendary dolly parton joining us today, don't miss a moment of the program, we are also joined by the muppets, next on "good morning america." >>> new this morning, construction crane collapsed in australia sparking a fire sending workers running for their lives. it happened at a construct site at the university of technology. witnesses say the crane's arm snapped and went crashing into nearby buildings, nobody was seriously hurt. investigators believe a fuel leak sparked a fire this is the second crane from the same australian company to collaps
. if the president, for example, wins nevada, and he wins iowa, and he wins pennsylvania, and mitt romney then wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida, that leaves three toss-ups. that's wisconsin, ohio, and virginia. if the candidates split ohio and wisconsin, that leaves virginia. and that could be the key to reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win. and the final nbc news/wall street journal poll has the candidates in a statistical dead heat in that race. >>> apparently, today's election will not be the big talk around the water cooler today in our office. really nice job, eun. >> are you laughing at me? >> no. that was well done. about two-thirds of american workers say they don't share their political affiliation at the office. and more than a quarter of workers say they need to keep their political beliefs a secret around their colleagues. >>> have you threatened to leave the country if your candidate doesn't win? jet blue can help you out with that. the airline is giving away 2012 seats to customers who support the losing presidential candidate. that's 1,006 round trip flights. you can
. virginia, pennsylvania, ohio, florida, iowa and nevada are all states that harbor a lot of swing voters. so folks here they want to make sure they encourage to vote democrat. >> the main thrust to all day long is to get out the vote obviously. we have been doing this for a while and today is crunch day so we want to get people ensure they are getting to the polls. >> reporter: now last night republicans were just as bessy at their headquarters in contracosta county trying to get the word out about mitt romney and they participated in phone banking and noticed a surge in republican enthusiasm. >> overnight, after that first debate, the energy level and volunteers have soared. and people have started to call and coming in and wanting to help. >> the election is very close. the polls are showing even in the race for rickey gillas within one point. >> reporter: republicans say a come from behind win is doable and they are hopeful and thefeeling among democrats that president obama needs to remain in office because they want him to finish what he started. now we are told here at the democratic h
. >> that's plan c. wisconsin and iowa, colorado, new hampshire and nevada were plan b. >> one of them is gone. let's talk about florida. because you guys have been numbers crunching like crazy. it's interesting to comparing them to what they were four years ago. what is your sense, karl? identified that miami-dade and broward counties and palm beach the democratic strongholds in the south. obama is doing better in those. he is doing a little less than big urban centers of the i4 corridor. tampa saint peter and orlando and less well in the urban counties in the i4 corridors and worse in the southwest corner of the state and up in the north. the real one is the panhandle where he is running further behind where he did four years ago. walton county got 26% of the vote. now 23.7% of the vote. romney is getting 3 1/2 points better than -- but this race right now is settled. million people having voted is 2000 votes apart. i think at the end of the day it's about-- in--t me brin >> this has been going back and forth. the interesting thing is in the counties where obama is doing a s doing or
. this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. as i mentioned, it's low 70's today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a big impact in a state that is increasingly diverse and increasingly
new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g
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